A Russian ambassador made a worrying threat against a NATO member

Finland could see retaliation, but why?
Russia shares a long border with Finland
Complicated geopolitics
Spurred on the by invasion of Ukraine
A move that angered Putin
Deploying military assets
Troops will be stationed at the border
Good relations
Troops have been absent
A migration crisis cause by Russia
Tensions have been high
Relations might be restored
It all depends on Washington and Brussels
No return to the previous relationship
No nuclear weapons on Finnish territory
There would be a response
Finland could see retaliation, but why?

Moscow would retaliate against Finland if it allowed nuclear weapons to be placed on its territory according to a warning from the Russian ambassador to the country. But why is the Kremlin worried and what was threatened?

Russia shares a long border with Finland

Finland is one of the newest members to join NATO and was officially welcomed into the military alliance in April 2023. However, the country shares a 1,340km (832-mile) border with Russia and has remained neutral for decades. 

Complicated geopolitics

The geopolitics of the area can be difficult at times but Finnish leadership has pursued a policy of non-alignment for seven decades according to Reuters. Finland’s position only ended after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. 

Spurred on the by invasion of Ukraine

Newsweek reported that Finland was spurred on by the increased threats Russia posed to itself and other countries following February 2022. Helsinki began the process of joining NATO in tandem with Sweden in May 2022. 

A move that angered Putin

The move was one that angered Russian leadership and Vladimir Putin has warned that there would be consequences for their actions on several occasions since both Finland and Sweden announced their intentions to join NATO. 

Deploying military assets

For example, in June 2022, Putin said that Finland and Sweden could join the military alliance but said “if military contingents and military infrastructure were deployed there, we would be obliged to respond symmetrically” according to The Guardian. 

Troops will be stationed at the border

In March 2024, Putin revealed that Russia was planning to redeploy troops at its border with Finland in response to the country’s accession to NATO during an interview with the Russian journalist Dmitry Kiselyov according to United Press International. 

Good relations

“We generally had ideal relations with Finland. Simply perfect. We did not have a single claim against each other, especially territorial, not to mention other areas,” Putin stated according to a translation of his remarks by Politico. 

Troops have been absent

“We didn’t even have troops,” Putin added, explaining to Kiselyov that Russia removed all of its troops from the Russian-Finnish border before adding that Moscow would now have troops stationed along the border with Finland.

A migration crisis cause by Russia

Russia and Finland have also been fighting a prolonged border dispute over a migration issue that has led to Helsinki closing its land border to Russia indefinitely to stop the flow of Syrian and Somali arrivals coming from Russia, Reuters reported. 

Tensions have been high

Tensions between the two nations are high but that didn’t stop the Russian ambassador to Finland Pavel Kuznetsov from threatening Helsinki with retaliation if nuclear weapons were allowed on Finnish soil nor from saying their relationship could not be repaired. 

Relations might be restored

"Sooner or later, the relationship between the two neighbors will be restored. That's not going to happen as quickly as we might want though," Kuznetsov explained to TASS, a state-owned Russian news agency.

It all depends on Washington and Brussels

Kuznetsov said that Russia’s relationship with Finland depended less on Helsinki, which he noted had lost its independence because of its foreign policy decisions, and more on policies being pursued by Brussels and Washington against Russia. 

No return to the previous relationship

“There will be no return to the previous format of cooperation now that Finland has joined the aggressive military bloc,” Kuznetsov added, meaning he doesn’t see Russian relations with Finland returning to what they were before Helsinki joined NATO. 

No nuclear weapons on Finnish territory

Kuznetsov then went on to warn Finland against allowing any nuclear weapons on its soil, noting that “specific steps will be developed depending on real threats that these actions will pose to our security.”

There would be a response

"The Finns cannot but realize that such a major provocation will not be left without a Russian response. However, we expect that common sense would prevail,” the Russian ambassador continued. 

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