Trump has been setting the stage to challenge the 2024 election results. Will it work?
For weeks, Republican candidate Donald Trump has been signaling his intention to challenge the 2024 Presidential election results if he loses. He has dropped phrases here and there, but not only that.
Former President Trump has built part of his campaign around his 2020 claims of a stolen election. He has litigated, created task forces, and promoted policy to set the field for the 2024 election.
Last time, the Republican candidate found a wall in the Justice system. None of his claims stood the test of prosecution, and the election results were clear.
However, a recent AP-NORC poll shows that he might have been more successful than we thought: he managed to convince many voters that elections are not to be trusted.
Many bipartisan officials, judges, and experts have clarified that there is no evidence of a widespread effort to undermine the 2020 elections. Fraud cases are sporadic and do not define elections.
Still, according to the poll collected by AP News, most Republican voters are more likely to trust Mr. Trump than they are to believe in certified elections.
Moreover, the 2020 "steal" idea has moved from the fringes to the party's center. The poll said that two-thirds of Republicans believe Mr. Trump's reading of the results, while only half believe the official count.
Mr. Trump has worked for four years to embed the election steal notion in every aspect of his 2024 campaign. He has linked it to one of the top issues for his voters: immigration.
The clearest example is a widely used myth his campaign has been spreading for weeks: that Democrats will allow non-citizens to vote in the coming presidential elections.
PBS explained that many of his election officials have spread the myth, and some have even litigated the issue in states like Michigan, Nevada, and North Carolina.
A group of House members has also tried to tie a spending bill to avoid a government shutdown to a law requiring proof of citizenship to vote, which would complicate elections.
Outside the non-citizen myth, Mr. Trump's campaign has also taken a more hands-on approach to controlling election results. He has made "election integrity" a crucial part of his party's platform.
According to The Guardian, the Republican National Convention has more than 100,000 volunteer poll observers ready for the 2024 election. The campaign has also sparked change through litigation.
The most famous case is Georgia. New rules from a Republican-appointed majority on the State Board of Elections could allow members of local election boards to try to refuse to certify results.
Before, board members had to certify the election results. The new rule would allow loyal Trump board members to challenge the results based on the need for more information.
However, some experts believe Trump still can't challenge certifiable results. Rick Hasen, a law professor at the University of California, told PBS: "If it looks like what we had last time. I expect we'll see the same kind of thing."