Putin's military has a huge number of self-inflicted aircraft losses

This is how bad things have gotten
Russian self-inflicted losses
Several factors
Russia’s numbers
Total air asset losses
What is Oryx?
Other verified loses
The total according to Newsweek
Over one-fifth of losses are self-inflicted
The rates by aircraft and helicopter
A damning assessment
A high-profile incident
A technical malfunction
Another incident in October 2022
Training platforms
Reasons for the crashes
Western sanctions playing a role?
Hindering Russia
The most recent loss
What we know
Two other incidents
This is how bad things have gotten

Roughly one in five Russian aircraft and helicopter losses over the last eighteen months of conflict in Ukraine have been self-inflicted according to a new report from Newsweek. 

Russian self-inflicted losses

Russia has lost 21.7 percent of its jet, helicopter, and transport aircraft fleets to friendly fire, pilot errors, systems malfunctions, or other accidents not caused by Ukraine’s army. 

Several factors

Newsweek noted that some experts have attributed these non-combat losses to several factors, the least of which include maintenance oversight issues as well as poor training. 

Russia’s numbers

Russia has lost at least forty-eight aircraft to non-combat-related incidents as of August 24th with the largest losses coming from seven Su-25 jets and nine Mi-8 Helicopters. 

Total air asset losses

The Kremlin has lost 186 different piloted aircraft and helicopters in total since Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine based on open-source visual data from Oryx. 

What is Oryx?

Oryx is a Dutch intelligence project that has been tracking both Ukrainian and Russian losses since the war began and only counts a loss if there is video or picture evidence. 

Other verified loses

Newsweek used Oryx’s Russian aircraft and helicopter losses count in order to calculate the number of Russian air assets that had been lost due to non-combat complications. 

The total according to Newsweek

The American news outlet was able to identify 18 extra cases of self-inflicted helicopter losses as well as 17 cases of additional aircraft losses—bringing the total losses to 227. 

Over one-fifth of losses are self-inflicted

With 48 confirmed self-inflicted losses, the Russian Air Force is currently suffering from a stunning 21.7 percent rate of losses coming just from the organization's own issues. 

The rates by aircraft and helicopter

Newsweek also reported the rate of self-inflicted losses for aircraft sat at 26.7 percent while the rate for Russia’s helicopters hovered around 17.5 percent of total losses. 

A damning assessment

“While these numbers are by no means exhaustive, with further unreported losses, both combat and non-combat, likely to emerge… they still offer a damning assessment of the current state of Russia's air force,” wrote Newsweek’s Ellie Cook. 

A high-profile incident

One of the most high-profile Russian aircraft incidents happened in October 2022 when a Su-34 fighter jet fell from the sky and slammed into an apartment building in Yeysk. 

A technical malfunction

Both pilots were killed in the crash and Russian authorities claimed the incident was the result of a technical malfunction according to a Reuters report at the time of the incident. 

Photo Credit: Wiki Commons

Another incident in October 2022

Another incident in October 2022 saw a Su-30 fighter crash into a building in Siberia, an incident RAND Corporation engineer and analyst Michael Bohnert found “interesting.”

Photo Credit: Wiki Commons

Training platforms

"These aircraft were being used as training platforms, and their combat counterparts have limited use in the current war,” Bohnert wrote in a November 2022 essay.  

Photo Credit: Wiki Commons

Reasons for the crashes

Bohnert believed there were likely three reasons for the dual incidents accoridng to Business Insider's analysis of his work. First, there was a lack of skilled mechanics, second, he believed Russia didn’t have the aviation parts needed to fix the aircraft, and third, he thought Russia couldn’t make the needed parts.

Photo Credit: Wiki Commons

Western sanctions playing a role?

This interpretation would suggest Western sanctions have played a big role in Moscow’s many self-inflicted aircraft and helicopter losses, and Bohnert noted this in his essay. 

Photo Credit: Wiki Commons

Hindering Russia

"Sanctions placed on Russia by the West could well be affecting Russia's ability to manufacture and maintain parts needed to keep aircraft safe," Bohnert wrote. 

The most recent loss

On August 12th, another major self-inflicted loss incident occurred. This time a Russian Su-30 fighter jet crashed in the Kaliningrad region while on a training mission and local officials blamed the crash on technical malfunctions the Associated Press reported. 

Photo Credit: Wiki Commons

What we know

“The Su-30 aircraft crashed in a deserted area. The flight was carried out without ammunition. The crew died,” local military authorities explained. 

Two other incidents

The Associated Press reported Russia has suffered two other major incidents that saw two fighter jets crash while they were flying training missions. One occurred while it was flying in the Pacific while the other happened over the Sea of Azov. 

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