Could aid from North Korean help Russia win the war in Ukraine?

Kim's got Putin's back
Has Russia closed its anti-tank missile gap with Ukraine?
A self-propelled missile system from North Korea
What is the Bulsae-4?
The Bulsae-4 in Ukraine
Spotted by a drone
An anti-tank weapon
It’s a long-range system
Operating in safety
A major improvement
Unveiled back in 2016
A few key features
The missile system
Near Volchansk?
It fired 6 missiles
Uniquely North Korean
It meets a growing need
Putin’s June visit to Kim
Other variants in Ukraine?
We don’t know quite yet
No confirmation from Ukraine
Has Russia closed its anti-tank missile gap with Ukraine?
The start of a bigger problem for the world?
Kim's got Putin's back

There aren't many world leaders who are willing to help Russian President Vladimir Putin. His invasion of Ukraine turned off more than a few of his "friends." But there is on leader who will likely always be by Putin's side and give him a hand when he can: North Korea's Kim Jong Un.

 

Has Russia closed its anti-tank missile gap with Ukraine?

Video footage released in late July 2024 showed that Moscow could be employing a powerful North Korean anti-tank vehicle on the frontlines in Ukraine. If true, the weapon could be bad news for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

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A self-propelled missile system from North Korea
Recent reports analyzing social media images suggest that the Russian Armed Forces have allegedly started using a self-propelled missile system supplied by North Korea known as the Bulsae-4. 
What is the Bulsae-4?

"The Bulsae-4 is a Non-Line of Sight (NLOS) anti-tank guided missile (ATGM) with an estimated range of over 10 kilometers. It appears broadly equivalent to the U.S. FGM-148 Javelin and Chinese HJ-12," wrote The Diplomat's A.B. Abrams.

Photo Credit: X @ArmoredWar

The Bulsae-4 in Ukraine

Several reports have indicated Moscow has deployed the North Korea Bulsae-4 to the frontlines in Ukraine based on an image published by the Telegram channel KUP(+18). 

Photo Credit: Telegram @KUPua01

Spotted by a drone

The Ukrainian news website Militarnyi reported that the image showed what appeared to be a Bulsae-4 spotted in an open area by an aerial reconnaissance drone. 

An anti-tank weapon

The Bulsae-4 is a rather powerful self-propelled weapons system that can hit targets upwards of more than 10 kilometers or roughly 6.2 miles away and was only recently developed by North Korea. 

Photo Credit: Telegram: @KUPua01

It’s a long-range system

Militarnyi reported that details about North Korean weapons are often not accurate and noted that the Bulsae-4 could be able to hit targets as far away as 25 kilometers or 15.5 miles. 

Operating in safety

If the distances estimated by Militarnyi are true, it would mean the North Korean system could attack enemy armored targets from a distance that would keep the Bulsae-4 safe. 

A major improvement

Army Recognition reported that the Bulsae-4 “is part of North Korea's ongoing efforts to modernize its military technology” and improve the effectiveness of its infantry forces. 

Unveiled back in 2016

The Bulsae-4 was publicly revealed by Pyongyang on state television in 2016, but it is not known how many of the missile systems have been manufactured by North Korea.

A few key features

Real-time data transmission and precision targeting capabilities set the Bulsae-4 apart from other North Korean weapons systems, the vehicle also focuses heavily on soldier survivability. 

The missile system

The Bulsae-4’s missiles are set up in a six-by-six configuration, and the missile system is equipped with eight launch containers according to reporting from Army Recognition. 

Photo Credit: Army Recognition Via North Korea

Near Volchansk?

David Axe of Forbes reported that the Russian Bulsae-4 deployed to Ukraine was spotted near Vovchansk, a city that has been a main battleground of the Kremlin’s offensive into Kharkiv Oblast. 

It fired 6 missiles

The operator of the reconnaissance drone that found the Bulsae-4 reported it “managed to launch six rockets before leaving” according to a statement posted on his X account. 

Uniquely North Korean

“The Bulsae-4 is uniquely North Korean,” Axe explained, adding the system borrows its chassis from a North Korean version of the Russian BTR-80 armored personnel carrier. 

It meets a growing need

“For the Russians, the Bulsae-4 meets a growing need,” Axe wrote, reporting they are replacing the roughly 50 Shturm and Kornet tank destroyers lost since the war began.   

Photo Credit: Wiki Commons By VoidWanderer, Own Work, CC BY-SA 4.0

Putin’s June visit to Kim

In June 2024, President Vladimir Putin traveled to Pyongyang to meet with Kim Jong-Un where the two signed a mutual defense pact, solidifying their growing close relationship. 

Other variants in Ukraine?

Whether or not the acquisition of the Bulsae-4 was discussed is unknown, but if Moscow is receiving the missile system from North Korea, it could mean other variants of the vehicle are also being sent to Russian forces. 

We don’t know quite yet

“We don’t know the details of Russia’s June security pact with North Korea. But it’s possible, even likely, that the terms include significant transfers of North Korean-made vehicles,” Axe wrote. 

No confirmation from Ukraine

Ukraine has not confirmed that the Bulsae-4 is being used in the country according to Defense Express, which reported the spokesperson of the Operational Tactical Group Vitalii Sarantsev said the weapon's appearance in the country could not be confirmed. 

 

Has Russia closed its anti-tank missile gap with Ukraine?

If reports of the Bulsae-4's arrival in Ukraine do prove true, it could mean Moscow has found a way to close its anti-tank missile gap with Ukraine according to The Diplomat. Moreover, the weapon's arrival on foreign battlefields could signal a bigger problem for the world. 

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The start of a bigger problem for the world?

"The implications of this acquisition are significant not only for the frontlines in Ukraine, but also for what it reveals regarding North Korea’s defense sector and its future both as a supplier to the Korean People’s Army and as a major exporter," the Diplomat's A.B. Abrams explained.

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