2021 Canadian politics: Justin Trudeau and Erin O'Toole's political battle

Justin Trudeau has won the election
Trudeau is the 8th PM to win 3 or more elections
Mail-in ballots still need to be counted
Trudeau didn't get the majority government he hoped for
Results nearly identical to the 2019 election
Justin Trudeau has a lot of promises to fulfil
Erin O'Toole will not be Canada's next PM
O'Toole called out Trudeau over the extra cost of the election
Defeat for the Conservatives
NDP didn't do as well as they hoped
How did the other parties do?
The PPC did not win any seats
A look at the campaign trail that lead to Trudeau's win
Justin Trudeau's election campaign was a bit rocky...
Protestors insulted and threw gravel at Mr. Trudeau
The RCMP shielded Trudeau from the debris
Trudeau
Many of the protestors held PPC signs
Trudeau wants mandatory vaccines for some workers
Trudeau: I don't want to call them protestors -those anit-vaxxer mobs...
Trudeau implied that O'Toole is catering to anti-vaxxers
O'Toole pledged an over 90% vaccination rate
O'Toole denounced the abuse
Trudeau dissolved Parliament on August 15th
It appeared that Canadians preferred the Conservatives
The Liberal Party is usually in the top position
The Conservative Party was ahead in the EKOS tracking poll
In 2019 the Conservative received more votes
Some thought voter frustration would stop Trudeau from winning
65% of Canadians were not happy an election was called
Many Liberal voters did not want another election
Conservative support has increased in Canada
 Erin O'Toole copied Stephen Harper's modus operandi
O'Toole is focused on the extra costs of the election
Conservatives brought Trudeau's old scandals to light
Trudeau was criticized for how he handled the pandemic
The Conservative Party promised
The Liberals still appeared to have more support
The New Democratic Party (NDP) was in second place in Western Canada
Bloc Québécois was in second place in Quebec
It was predicted that the Liberals had a slightly better chance of winning more seats
The Conservatives increased their odds of winning
However, it wasn't enough
Justin Trudeau has won the election

Despite a rough go on the campaign trail, where Trudeau faced hecklers and even had gravel thrown at him, Justin Trudeau won the federal election. The young Canadian politician will serve his 3rd consecutive term as Canada's Prime Minister.

Trudeau is the 8th PM to win 3 or more elections

Trudeau is now the eighth Canadian Prime Minister to win three or more elections. In doing so, Justin Trudeau joins the ranks of Canada's longest-serving Prime Ministers such as William Lyon Mackenzie King, Sir John A. Macdonald, Sir Wilfred Laurier, and of course, his father, Pierre Trudeau.

"You have given the government a clear direction"

Trudeau's decision to call a snap election in the hopes of obtaining a majority government was not a popular decision among Canadians, and Canada's Prime Minister is quite aware of this fact. According to The Guardian, on early Tuesday morning, as it became clear that he had won, Justin Trudeau spoke to the crowds in Montreal: “I hear you when you say you want to get back to the things you love, not to worry about the pandemic or the election. You have given this government and this parliament clear direction.”

Mail-in ballots still need to be counted

The final vote count has yet to be completed; Elections Canada says it may take days to obtain the final results as it may take days to count and verify the mail-in ballot. However, it seems that little will affect the fact that despite his hopes of having a majority government, Trudeau will be Prime Minister with a minority government once again.

Trudeau didn't get the majority government he hoped for

According to preliminary results reported by the Canadian Press, Trudeau needed 170 seats to win a majority government and has fallen short at just 158. The Conservative party lead by Erin O'Toole holds 119 seats thus far.

Results nearly identical to the 2019 election

The result of the 2021 federal election is nearly identical to the results of the federal election held in 2019. In fact, Trudeau went into the election with the Liberals holding 155 seats in parliament, the Conservatives had 119 seats, the Bloc Quebecois had 32 seats, and the NDP held 24 seats.
In addition, there were five Independent MPs, and the Green party held just two seats.

Justin Trudeau has a lot of promises to fulfil

However, at the end of the day, a win is a win, and compared to Erin O'Toole, Justin Trudeau is in a much better position. Justin Trudeau must now fulfill his promises such as triple the federal carbon tax and the rebates that go along with it, implementing a national daycare network, talk to American President Joe Biden about why The United States is starting a new partnership on defense and security issues and Canada is not involved, among many other daunting tasks. ,

Erin O'Toole will not be Canada's next PM

Early Tuesday morning Conservative party leader Erin O'Toole admitted defeat and took the opportunity to take a dig at Trudeau for what many have called a "vanity election," which added unnecessary cost and stress amid the pandemic.

O'Toole called out Trudeau over the extra cost of the election

According to The Guardian, O'Toole said, “Five weeks ago, Mr. Trudeau asked for a majority. Tonight, Canadians did not give Mr. Trudeau the majority mandate he wanted. In fact, Canadians sent him back with another minority at the cost of $600m dollars.”

Defeat for the Conservatives

Despite leading in the national popular vote, Monday's election results ended in defeat for the Conservatives. O'Toole led a centrist campaign, yet he failed to convince enough voters to get rid of the Liberal party. The Conservative Party hasn't won a federal election since 2011.

"I am resolutely committed to continuing this journey for Canada"

In his speech to his supporter early on Tuesday morning, O'Toole made it clear that he planned to stay on as leader despite his defeat. “Our support has grown, it’s grown across the country, but clearly, there is more work for us to do to earn the trust of Canadians. My family and I are resolutely committed to continuing this journey for Canada.”

NDP didn't do as well as they hoped

Jagmeet Singh, the New Democratic Party (NDP) leader, had hoped to earn more electoral seats this time around. The party didn't do as well as they'd hoped, with preliminary results giving them just 25 seats.

"Our fight will continue"

In a congratulatory speech to Trudeau, Singh said, “Our fight will always continue.” Even though Singh consistently attacked Trudeau during the election campaign, the NDP will most likely support the vast majority of the Liberal Party's policies; however, they will also attempt to push the government further left.

How did the other parties do?

According to the preliminary results, the Bloc Quebecois has seen a slight increase in parliament seats, with 34 and the Green Party currently holds just two seats.

Pictured: Annamie Paul of the Green Party.

The PPC did not win any seats

Maxime Bernie of the People's Party of Canada, who ran on a platform against COVID-19 safety measures, such as masks and vaccines and has been called out for being racist and xenophobic, has not won any seats in parliament at all.

A look at the campaign trail that lead to Trudeau's win

It will be interesting to see the final numbers of the election as they roll in; however, there will likely not be any drastic changes. The election campaign for this snap election has been a unique one, with challenges never before experienced by politicians that came hand in hand with campaigning during a pandemic. Click on for a look at Trudeau and O'Toole's journey on the federal election campaign trail!

Justin Trudeau's election campaign was a bit rocky...

Canadian PM Justin Trudeau is suffered through a "rocky" campaign trail...literally when protestors threw gravel at Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau at an election campaign stop in London, Ontario.

 

Protestors insulted and threw gravel at Mr. Trudeau

Mr. Trudeau, the leader of the Liberal Party, was departing the event when a group of angry protestors surrounded him and his entourage. Many of the protestors held "Peoples' Party of Canada" signs and screaming obscenities at the Canadian Prime Minister. It seems Canada has not escaped the trend of extreme right protest groups that have been popping up in the last few years.

Pictured: A screenshot from Global News Canada which depicts the mob surrounding Trudeau on Monday.

The RCMP shielded Trudeau from the debris

Trudeau's RCMP security team held up their hands in an attempt to shield the PM so that the flying debris wouldn't hit him as he entered his campaign bus. Various media members that were covering the event were hit by the gravel being thrown, and luckily no one was injured.

(Photo: Global News)

 

Trudeau "may have been hit"

That same evening, Trudeau spoke to reporters while on his campaign plane about the incident. Reporters asked if any of the debris had hit the Prime Minister. Trudeau responded, “Does that matter? There were little bits of gravel and I may have been hit,” seemingly not interested in giving more importance to the incident.

Many of the protestors held PPC signs

Many of the protestors in London appeared to support the far-right People's Party of Canada (PPC), as indicated by the signs they carried. Apart from shouting slurs and insults at Trudeau, many protestors seemed to be upset about the COVID-19 health measures and vaccination requirements that Trudeau's government has put in place. This isn't the first angry mob that Justin Trudeau has had to face so far along the campaign trail.

Pictured a campaign photo from the People's Party of Canada's Instagram @peoplespca.

Trudeau wants mandatory vaccines for some workers

Trudeau opted to share his thoughts on vaccination policies, including mandatory vaccination for some employees and the majority of domestic travellers. Anti-vaxxers within Canada are far from happy about these policies. Trudeau spoke out about the groups that are against vaccines and COVID-19 health measures, while on the campaign trail saying, “Yes, there is a small fringe element in this country that is angry, that doesn’t believe in science, that is lashing out with racist, misogynistic attacks.”

 

Trudeau: I don't want to call them protestors -those anit-vaxxer mobs..."

Trudeau called the protestors, “But Canadians, the vast majority of Canadians, are not represented by them, and I know will not allow those voices, those special interest groups, those protesters — I don’t even want to call them protesters, those anti-vaxxer mobs — to dictate how this country gets through this pandemic.”

Trudeau implied that O'Toole is catering to anti-vaxxers

Trudeau implied that his rival, leader of the Conservative Party Erin O'Toole, catered to the whims of the anti-vaccine crowd to earn more votes. According to Global News, the PM said, “They don’t get to dictate policy of this government, so it is puzzling to people to see that on vaccines and on so many other things, Erin O’Toole is at least taking some of his cues from them.”

Pictured: Shirts worn by anti-mask, anti-vaccine protestors on September 4th in Edmonton, Alberta.

O'Toole pledged an over 90% vaccination rate

Erin O'Toole's stance on COVID-19 vaccination is that it is safe and effective. The Conservative leader has pledged to get national immunization for COVID to over 90%. However, he also stated that he believes in offering the option of rapid testing for those who chose not to be vaccinated.

(Photo: screenshot from a campaign video from Erin O'Toole's Instagram @erinotoolemp)

O'Toole denounced the abuse

Both Erin O'Toole and Jagmeet Singh (NDP)  spoke up against those that have threatened, insulted, and thrown objects at PM Trudeau. O'Toole wrote on Twitter that he found the incident to be "disgusting," writing, “Political violence is never justified and our media must be free from intimidation, harassment, and violence.”

Trudeau dissolved Parliament on August 15th

On August 15th, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau dissolved Parliament, and the head of the Liberal Party seemed to be in an excellent position to win the elections for the third time in a row.

It appeared that Canadians preferred the Conservatives

However, just two weeks later, it seemed that the scales had tipped in favour of the Conservatives and that Mr. Trudeau would have to fight to win the election.

The Liberal Party is usually in the top position

Canada's PM surely didn't expect this change in the polls, as the Liberal Party has been in the top position in almost every poll over the past year.

The Conservative Party was ahead in the EKOS tracking poll

Suddenly, the Liberals found themselves lagging behind the Conservative Party by 7.6 points in the EKOS daily tracking polls.

In 2019 the Conservative received more votes

In Canada, leaders are not elected by a nationwide popular vote, in the 2019 elections, the Conservatives received more votes yet still lost to the Liberals.

Some thought voter frustration would stop Trudeau from winning

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau must have been asking himself, "what happened?" Some speculated that Trudeau underestimated voter frustration.

65% of Canadians were not happy an election was called

A poll carried out by the Toronto Star/Mainstreet Research on August 10th, and 11th showed that 65% of Canadians were not happy about having to return to the ballot boxes.

Many Liberal voters did not want another election

Undoubtedly, this number included many Liberals who were happy with the government in Ottawa and had no desire to upset the political setup.

Conservative support has increased in Canada

It appeared that the Conservative Party had a narrow advantage over the Liberals, as support of the party grew during the election campaign.

Erin O'Toole copied Stephen Harper's modus operandi

The Conservative leader, Erin O'Toole, proved on the campaign trail that he is not to be underestimated. Following in the steps of Stephen Harper, he has copied Harper's modus operandi and has gone into attack mode.

O'Toole is focused on the extra costs of the election

The first step the Conservatives took in their election campaign was to focus on the extra cost that Trudeau's snap election brought to Canadians. According to Elections Canada, the cost of the election is around $107 million more than the election in 2019, coming in at an estimated 610 million Canadian dollars.

Conservatives brought Trudeau's old scandals to light

The Conservative's action plan for the election was also  to highlight the mistakes Justin Trudeau had made in recent years, such as public disagreements he has had with other members of Parliament (in particular with women) and his blackface scandal.

Trudeau was criticized for how he handled the pandemic

The Conservatives also focused on how PM Trudeau handled the pandemic. O'Toole reminded voters of issues such as the slow start to the vaccination plan and the increase of the federal deficit due to the emergency financial relief measures that Trudeau put into place to aid both individuals and businesses.

The Conservative Party promised "a more effective Covid plan"

In exchange, the Conservative Party promised that their Covid-19 plan would be more effective and cost less, to offer tax credits for capital investment, child care, and small businesses, along with a ten-year plan to balance Canada's budget.

The Liberals still appeared to have more support

Although the Conservative Party's election strategy seemed to be helping them gain ground, the Liberals still had a slightly better chance of winning more seats.

The New Democratic Party (NDP) was in second place in Western Canada

According to CBC News, the Conservative Party dominated throughout Western Canada, with the Liberals in the lead in Ontario, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada. The NDP was in second place in Western Canada, with an increase in support in Alberta and British Columbia.

Pictured: NDP leader Jagmeet Singh in Edmonton.

Bloc Québécois was in second place in Quebec

In Quebec, the Bloc was in second place, and the Greens lost support in Atlantic Canada. Finally, the People's Party beat out the Greens everywhere except Quebec and British Columbia.

It was predicted that the Liberals had a slightly better chance of winning more seats

CBC News predicted that the Liberal Party had a slightly better chance than the Conservative Party to win the most seats in Parliament. The Liberals owed this advantage to their leads in Quebec and Ontario.

The Conservatives increased their odds of winning

However, according to CBC, the Conservatives increased their odds of winning the most seats, odds were two-in-five, whereas the chance of a minority government reached four-in-five.

However, it wasn't enough

Despite their best efforts and a valiant race on the campaign trail, it seems that Canadians just weren't ready to give up on their Liberal government. Some will rejoice and some will cry, but Trudeau is back for another term as Prime Minister!

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