Putin's escape plan if Russia loses the war in Ukraine

Where would he go?
Emergency escape plan
Two ways out
A conflict that has dragged on too long
Health problems?
Putin would leave a trusted substitute in his place
Escape Plan A: Syria
Syria: allied country
Hard to get to
Turkey would hold the key to his escape
Erdogan decides
Open negotiations
Escape Plan B: Iran
Easier to travel to
Putin as a bargaining chip
Common knowledge or just rumors?
Where would he go?

Who is winning the war in Ukraine? The answer to this question depends on multiple factors. But for Putin, it seems very clear that if he loses in Ukraine he will have to leave Russia.

Emergency escape plan

According to Daily Mail, there is a detailed plan in place to help Vladimir Putin escape if need be.

Two ways out

The Daily Mail mentions as the source of its information a Telegram channel where internal Kremlin information is disseminated. According to this Telegram channel Putin has two main ways out of Russia.

A conflict that has dragged on too long

The war in Ukraine is dragging on. In principle, Russia should have the advantage in holding out. But, just in case, Putin has a plan B.

Health problems?

There is also the (contradictory) information about Putin's state of health , which has been taken into account in the escape plan.

Putin would leave a trusted substitute in his place

Always according to the Daily Mail, Putin would leave Russia with his family but would leave a highly trusted leader in charge.

 

Escape Plan A: Syria

Daily Mail points out that the country that could host Putin if he has to flee might be Syria.

Syria: allied country

Syria is Russia's closest friendly state, and the leader of this dictatorship, Bashar al-Assad, awaits him there, whom Putin helped crucially in the 2015 Civil War.

Hard to get to

However, there is a small problem with this escape plan. Any flight Vladimir Putin makes from Russia to Syria would have to go through Turkish airspace, and Turkey is a member of NATO.

Turkey would hold the key to his escape

In this situation, if the Turkish government denies the Russian plane carrying Vladimir Putin permission to cross its airspace, the escape plan would be seriously compromised.

Erdogan decides

It would be Recep Tayyip Erdogan who would have the last word, which makes the situation completely unpredictable. In principle, the Turkish leader is in favor of having friendly relations with Russia. Turkey is a fairly 'unique' NATO member after all.

Open negotiations

Putin and Erdogan have had as many friendly meetings as disagreements on specific issues. Russian diplomacy would have to work very hard on this escape plan.

Escape Plan B: Iran

If the Syrian plan proves unworkable, the other option for escape is Iran.

Easier to travel to

In this case, Putin would neither cross NATO airspace nor land in a country that might have ties to the West.

Putin as a bargaining chip

According to the Daily Mail the channel states, "In principle, it is beneficial for Iran and Turkey to keep the Russian president in exile in reserve, using him, depending on the situation, as a lever or as a bargaining chip."

 

Common knowledge or just rumors?

The Daily Mail claims that it is common knowledge that Russian Intelligence has already spoken to and negotiated with both Turkey and Iran regarding the details of Putin's escape plan. If things go belly up in Ukraine for Russia, we will soon see how much truth there is to all these rumors.

 

 

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