Is a new civil war in the USA a ridiculous notion?
Has a
Many Americans agree that violence against the government is
A belief more popular among Republicans
Many Trump voters want their states to secede from the Union
Many Biden supporters also believe it is time to split the country up
A country divided
Young Americans believe democracy is failing...
...and worry about the country's future
A new civil war would not look like first one
State rights comes up frequently in the Supreme Court
Different states, different values
The divide is no longer South vs. North
Political view vary greatly within a single state
Republicans vs. Democrats
Has a
A war between states in not the only war a civil war could occur
An average of 1.3 guns per person
A highly armed population is dangerous
Democracy is in decline
At this point...it seems anything is possible
1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(1/24)
Is a new civil war in the USA a ridiculous notion?

Is the United States of America heading towards another civil war? Some years ago, it would seem like a ridiculous question to ask...but these days, it is a question popping up everywhere.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(2/24)
Has a "cold" civil war already begun?

According to the findings of a poll by Business Insider published in October of 2020, most Americans believed that a "cold" civil war had already begun.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(3/24)
Many Americans agree that violence against the government is "sometimes justified"

Towards the end of 2021, The Washington Post and the University of Maryland conducted a poll that found that 1/3 of Americans agreed that acts of violence against the government was "sometimes justified."

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(4/24)
A belief more popular among Republicans

This belief was more common among independents and Republicans. In contrast, according to The Washington Post, in the 1990s, this view was only found in approximately 1 out of every 10 Americans.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(5/24)
Many Trump voters want their states to secede from the Union

Also, in the autumn of 2021, the University of Virginia Center for Politics released the results of a poll. It found that the majority of the individuals who voted to reelect Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential elections now hoped that their state could secede from the Union.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(6/24)
Many Biden supporters also believe it is time to split the country up

One might think that this is just a case of extreme MAGA Trump supporters, but it is not. The same UVA study also found that 41% of the population voted for Joe Biden for president now believed it was "time to split the country."

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(7/24)
A country divided

Undoubtedly, America has become a country divided, and it seems those with the most to lose if a civil war were to arise are also the most concerned about it becoming a reality.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(8/24)
Young Americans believe democracy is failing...

In December 2021, the Institute of Politics at Harvard's Kennedy School revealed that a poll they had conducted found that among voting-age Americans under 30 years of age, half believed that democracy in the United States was "failing" or "in trouble."

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(9/24)
...and worry about the country's future

In addition, 25% of those polled revealed that they believed that at least one state would secede in the coming years.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(10/24)
A new civil war would not look like first one

What would a new civil war look like in the United States? Undoubtedly it would look far different than in the 1860s.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(11/24)
State rights comes up frequently in the Supreme Court

The right of the different states to make their own decisions is still an important issue in the Supreme Court, as seen with the example of abortion rights.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(12/24)
Different states, different values

Conservative states such as Texas would have the practice abolished; however, many people across the nation insist that the court's 'Roe v. Wade' decision in 1973 be upheld. Would it be a war between multiple states?

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(13/24)
The divide is no longer South vs. North

The geographic divide in the United States is no longer only about the South and North but more so about rural vs. urban. So within a state, there can be a great political divide.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(14/24)
Political view vary greatly within a single state

Take the state of Maine, for example, which is considered a "blue state" thanks to its heavily populated coastal counties that love Biden. But in the interior counties, politically look pretty different, with many supporting Trump.

 

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(15/24)
Republicans vs. Democrats

This situation repeats itself in most states around the country, making it seem as though the United States is no longer a nation divided into 50 states, but rather a nation divided into two political parties: the Republicans and Democrats.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(16/24)
Has a "border war" already started?

The director of governance studies at the Brookings Institution, Darrell West, says that a "war" of sorts has already begun: "We already are seeing 'border war' with individual states passing major legislation that differs considerably from that in other places."

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(17/24)
A war between states in not the only war a civil war could occur

Along with William Gale, a Brooking senior fellow in economic studies, Darell West has written a few articles discussing America's social and political fallout. The duo believes that conflicts between states are not the only way a new civil war could occur. In fact, it may be far more likely that neighbors turn on each other over differing views.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(18/24)
"...people are willing to consider extraordinary means to achieve their objectives."

West and Gate write, "Today's toxic atmosphere makes it difficult to negotiate on important issues, which makes people angry with the federal government and has helped create a winner-take-all approach to politics. When the stakes are so high, people are willing to consider extraordinary means to achieve their objectives."

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(19/24)
"an extraordinary number of guns and private militias."

West and Gate go on to talk about how the general population is highly armed, "America has an extraordinary number of guns and private militias."

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(20/24)
An average of 1.3 guns per person

According to the National Shooting Sports Foundation's best estimation, there are 434 million firearms in civilian possession in the U.S. - around 1.3 guns per person.

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(21/24)
A highly armed population is dangerous

Of which, according to West and Gate, "Semi-automatic weapons comprise around 19.8 million in total, making for a highly armed population with potentially dangerous capabilities."

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(22/24)
Democracy is in decline

Political scientist Barbara F. Walter of the University of California in San Diego, author of the book 'How Civil Wars Start,' told NPR last year that "American democracy been in decline since 2016."

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(23/24)
"and it's now considered a partial democracy..."

In addition Walter said, "The U.S. used to be considered a full democracy like Norway, Switzerland or Iceland," she said, "and it's now considered a partial democracy like Ecuador, Somalia or Haiti."

1.3 guns per American and political extremism: a recipe for civil war?
(24/24)
At this point...it seems anything is possible

It is hard to say what will happen in the coming months and years in the United States. However, following the events of January 6, 2021, we should now realize that nothing in American politics is impossible. Add in a society with highly polarized views that is highly armed, and anything is possible.

Check out: Will Tucker Carlson run for president?

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